Saturday, December 9, 2023
HomeFeaturesMild winter so far. . .

Mild winter so far. . .



Alvechurch amateur weatherman Phil Thomas records the changes.

January continued the very mild weather that we have had so far this winter, although we did have frosty weather on the 18th–20th. The mean temperature of 6.8C is 2.8C above the local average for January. This is way higher than would be expected for a normal UK winter month. Both rainfall and sunshine were near to normal as of January 20th.

January 2020 (to the 20th)
Mean Max  9.3C  2.6 above average
Mean Min   4.3C   3.0 above average
Mean        6.8C    2.8 above average
Rainfall   49.9mm   73% of average
Sunshine  30.1 hrs  60% of average

December was another bland, mild month. The mean temperature was 5.3C, which is 1.0C above the local 30-year mean. Rainfall was quite high at 100mm, which was 149% of the local 30-year mean. There were four air frosts, way below the expected level for a winter month. There were no reports of any snow falling or lying during December this year.

December 2019
Mean Max  8.0C  0.9 above average
Mean Min   2.6C   1.1 above average
Mean       5.3C     1.0 above average
Rainfall    100mm  144% of average
Sunshine  64.7 hrs  133% of average

2019 Yearly Averages
Mean Max  14.3C  0.5 above average
Mean Min   6.3C   0.5 above average
Mean       10.3C     0.5 above average
Rainfall   1060.1mm  139% of average
Sunshine 1030.7 hrs 109% of average

Computer models suggest we are likely to see a north/south split continuing; with the north being more unsettled than the south. The heaviest of the rainfall and strongest winds are likely to be seen across the northwest. The south is more likely to see drier, brighter conditions with light winds.
There is potentially a greater risk of frost and fog patches developing towards the south. During colder, showery interludes, any snow will most likely be over higher ground in the north. Temperatures will remain close to or above average through the period.

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